A practical guide to running rigorous experiments — from statistical foundations through pitfalls and decision frameworks.

Foundations

Core concepts: hypotheses, conversion rates, and random variation

Statistical Significance

P-values, confidence intervals, and Type I/II errors

Power and Sample Size

How to design experiments that can actually detect real effects

Pitfalls Part 1

Lucky day traps, SRM, base-rate mismatch, and data loss

Pitfalls Part 2

Twyman's Law, underpowered tests, peeking, and overdue experiments

Decision Framework

From trustworthy data to clear rollout decisions